Mercyhurst
W-L: (21-11) PR = 96.1327Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 919 H Minnesota Duluth HA (21-13, 97.7) 3- 4 920 H Minnesota Duluth HA (21-13, 97.7) 3- 5 925 A New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 3- 2 926 A New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 4- 0 1003 H St. Lawrence AC (12-21, 95.3) 1- 0 1004 H St. Lawrence AC (12-21, 95.3) 0- 3 1017 A Penn State L (34- 6, 97.8) 0- 3 1018 A Penn State L (34- 6, 97.8) 1- 6 1024 H Connecticut (29- 9, 96.9) 1- 1 1025 H Connecticut (29- 9, 96.9) 3- 4 1031 H Delaware L ( 2-31, 92.0) 3- 2 1101 H Delaware L ( 2-31, 92.0) 4- 0 1107 A Robert Morris L (13-22, 94.3) 5- 1 1108 A Robert Morris L (13-22, 94.3) 7- 2 1114 H RIT L (17-20, 95.3) 1- 0 1115 H RIT L (17-20, 95.3) 0- 1 1121 A Syracuse L (16-17, 94.8) 2- 2 1122 A Syracuse L (16-17, 94.8) 3- 2 1129 A Connecticut (29- 9, 96.9) 0- 5 1205 H Lindenwood L (15-22, 94.8) 1- 1 1206 H Lindenwood L (15-22, 94.8) 2- 5 102 A Lindenwood L (15-22, 94.8) 5- 1 103 A Lindenwood L (15-22, 94.8) 2- 1 109 H Penn State L (34- 6, 97.8) 0- 3 110 H Penn State L (34- 6, 97.8) 4- 3 116 A RIT L (17-20, 95.3) 5- 3 117 A RIT L (17-20, 95.3) 2- 1 123 H Robert Morris L (13-22, 94.3) 5- 1 124 H Robert Morris L (13-22, 94.3) 5- 1 130 A Delaware L ( 2-31, 92.0) 4- 0 131 A Delaware L ( 2-31, 92.0) 6- 1 213 H Syracuse L (16-17, 94.8) 2- 2 214 H Syracuse L (16-17, 94.8) 7- 0 227 H Lindenwood L (15-22, 94.8) 2- 1 228 H Lindenwood L (15-22, 94.8) 3- 2 307 A Penn State L (34- 6, 97.8) 2- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
919 H Minnesota Duluth 3- 4 -1 -1 0.23
920 H Minnesota Duluth 3- 5 -2 -1 -0.77
925 A New Hampshire 3- 2 1 0 0.56
926 A New Hampshire 4- 0 4 0 + 3.56
1004 H St. Lawrence 0- 3 -3 1 -- -4.24
1017 A Penn State 0- 3 -3 -2 -0.94
1018 A Penn State 1- 6 -5 -2 - -2.94
1024 H Connecticut 1- 1 0 0 0.37
1025 H Connecticut 3- 4 -1 0 -0.63
1031 H Delaware 3- 2 1 5 - -3.55
1101 H Delaware 4- 0 4 5 -0.55
1107 A Robert Morris 5- 1 4 1 + 2.59
1108 A Robert Morris 7- 2 5 1 + 3.59
1121 A Syracuse 2- 2 0 1 -0.94
1122 A Syracuse 3- 2 1 1 0.06
1129 A Connecticut 0- 5 -5 -1 - -3.86
1205 H Lindenwood 1- 1 0 2 -1.73
1206 H Lindenwood 2- 5 -3 2 -- -4.73
102 A Lindenwood 5- 1 4 1 + 3.04
103 A Lindenwood 2- 1 1 1 0.04
109 H Penn State 0- 3 -3 -1 -1.71
110 H Penn State 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.29
116 A RIT 5- 3 2 0 1.51
117 A RIT 2- 1 1 0 0.51
123 H Robert Morris 5- 1 4 2 1.82
124 H Robert Morris 5- 1 4 2 1.82
130 A Delaware 4- 0 4 4 0.22
131 A Delaware 6- 1 5 4 1.22
213 H Syracuse 2- 2 0 2 -1.71
214 H Syracuse 7- 0 7 2 ++ 5.29
227 H Lindenwood 2- 1 1 2 -0.73
228 H Lindenwood 3- 2 1 2 -0.73
307 A Penn State 2- 3 -1 -2 1.06
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1004 H St. Lawrence 0- 3 -3 1 -- -4.24 1206 H Lindenwood 2- 5 -3 2 -- -4.73 1018 A Penn State 1- 6 -5 -2 - -2.94 1031 H Delaware 3- 2 1 5 - -3.55 1129 A Connecticut 0- 5 -5 -1 - -3.86 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Syracuse 7- 0 7 2 ++ 5.29 926 A New Hampshire 4- 0 4 0 + 3.56 1107 A Robert Morris 5- 1 4 1 + 2.59 1108 A Robert Morris 7- 2 5 1 + 3.59 102 A Lindenwood 5- 1 4 1 + 3.04 110 H Penn State 4- 3 1 -1 + 2.29 |
Mercyhurst Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware | Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst | ||
| Lindenwood | Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| RIT | Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst | ||
| Robert Morris | Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst | ||
| Syracuse | Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst | ||
| Brown | Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst 4- 3 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Clarkson | Clarkson | Clarkson 3- 1 vs 1- 1 | ||
| Colgate | Mercyhurst | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 1) | Mercyhurst | |
| Cornell | Cornell | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) | Cornell | |
| Dartmouth | Mercyhurst | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Mercyhurst | |
| Harvard | Mercyhurst | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) | Mercyhurst | |
| Princeton | Princeton | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 3) | Princeton | |
| Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac 4- 1 vs 2- 2 | ||
| RPI | Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| St. Lawrence | Mercyhurst | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | Mercyhurst | |
| Union | Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst 3- 1 vs 1- 1 | ||
| Yale | Yale | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Yale | |
| Boston College | Mercyhurst | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Mercyhurst | |
| Boston University | Mercyhurst | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) | Mercyhurst | |
| Connecticut | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| Holy Cross | Mercyhurst | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 2) | Mercyhurst | |
| Maine | Mercyhurst | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mercyhurst | |
| Merrimack | Mercyhurst | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 2) | Mercyhurst | |
| New Hampshire | Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst | ||
| Northeastern | Northeastern | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) | Northeastern | |
| Providence | Mercyhurst | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mercyhurst | |
| Vermont | Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Assumption | Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Franklin Pierce | Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst | ||
| LIU | Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Post | Mercyhurst | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Mercyhurst | |
| Sacred Heart | Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst | ||
| Saint Anselm | Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst | ||
| St.Michael's | Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst | ||
| Stonehill | Mercyhurst | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 3) | Mercyhurst | |
| Bemidji State | Mercyhurst | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 2) | Mercyhurst | |
| Minnesota | Minnesota | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Minnesota | |
| Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth | ||
| Minnesota State | Minnesota State | Minnesota State 2- 1 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| St. Cloud State | St. Cloud State | St. Cloud State 3- 3 vs 1- 2 | ||
| St. Thomas | St. Thomas | St. Thomas 2- 1 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Wisconsin |
PowerWise = 29
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.18
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Minnesota Dulu (21-13, 97.7) 3- 4 -2.15 5.78 -0.39 1.00 -1.27
0 H Minnesota Dulu (21-13, 97.7) 3- 5 -2.15 5.78 -0.39 1.00 -1.27
0 A New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 3- 2 -4.59 3.34 0.39 1.00 7.49
0 A New Hampshire (17-16, 95.3) 4- 0 -4.59 3.34 0.39 1.00 7.49
0 H St. Lawrence (12-21, 95.3) 1- 0 -4.62 3.31 -0.39 1.00 5.88
0 H St. Lawrence (12-21, 95.3) 0- 3 -4.62 3.31 -0.39 1.00 -2.52
0 A Penn State (34- 6, 97.8) 0- 3 -2.09 5.84 0.39 1.00 -0.86
0 A Penn State (34- 6, 97.8) 1- 6 -2.09 5.84 0.39 1.00 -0.86
0 H Connecticut (29- 9, 96.9) 3- 4 -3.01 4.92 -0.39 1.00 -1.71
0 H Delaware ( 2-31, 92.0) 3- 2 -7.93 1.00 -0.39 1.00 1.23
0 H Delaware ( 2-31, 92.0) 4- 0 -7.93 1.00 -0.39 1.00 1.23
0 A Robert Morris (13-22, 94.3) 5- 1 -5.57 2.37 0.39 1.00 5.53
0 A Robert Morris (13-22, 94.3) 7- 2 -5.57 2.37 0.39 1.00 5.53
0 H RIT (17-20, 95.3) 1- 0 -4.64 3.29 -0.39 1.00 5.84
0 H RIT (17-20, 95.3) 0- 1 -4.64 3.29 -0.39 1.00 -2.53
0 A Syracuse (16-17, 94.8) 2- 2 -5.10 2.84 0.39 1.00 203.43
0 A Syracuse (16-17, 94.8) 3- 2 -5.10 2.84 0.39 1.00 6.48
0 A Connecticut (29- 9, 96.9) 0- 5 -3.01 4.92 0.39 1.00 -1.32
0 H Lindenwood (15-22, 94.8) 1- 1 -5.11 2.82 -0.39 1.00 203.43
0 H Lindenwood (15-22, 94.8) 2- 5 -5.11 2.82 -0.39 1.00 -2.76
0 A Lindenwood (15-22, 94.8) 5- 1 -5.11 2.82 0.39 1.00 6.44
0 A Lindenwood (15-22, 94.8) 2- 1 -5.11 2.82 0.39 1.00 6.44
0 H Penn State (34- 6, 97.8) 0- 3 -2.09 5.84 -0.39 1.00 -1.24
0 H Penn State (34- 6, 97.8) 4- 3 -2.09 5.84 -0.39 1.00 10.97
0 A RIT (17-20, 95.3) 5- 3 -4.64 3.29 0.39 1.00 7.39
0 A RIT (17-20, 95.3) 2- 1 -4.64 3.29 0.39 1.00 7.39
0 H Robert Morris (13-22, 94.3) 5- 1 -5.57 2.37 -0.39 1.00 3.98
0 H Robert Morris (13-22, 94.3) 5- 1 -5.57 2.37 -0.39 1.00 3.98
0 A Delaware ( 2-31, 92.0) 4- 0 -7.93 1.00 0.39 1.00 2.79
0 A Delaware ( 2-31, 92.0) 6- 1 -7.93 1.00 0.39 1.00 2.79
0 H Syracuse (16-17, 94.8) 2- 2 -5.10 2.84 -0.39 1.00 203.43
0 H Syracuse (16-17, 94.8) 7- 0 -5.10 2.84 -0.39 1.00 4.93
0 H Lindenwood (15-22, 94.8) 2- 1 -5.11 2.82 -0.39 1.00 4.89
0 H Lindenwood (15-22, 94.8) 3- 2 -5.11 2.82 -0.39 1.00 4.89
0 A Penn State (34- 6, 97.8) 2- 3 -2.09 5.84 0.39 1.00 -0.86
------
910.11
|
winning pts = 113.5644 losing points = -17.1947
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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